ISO / RTO · MODELED TAPE
PJMDEM98.4GWFCST104.2GW+5.8LMP$49.36CONG$11.6●RES15.8%●TX8●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026MISODEM76.5GWFCST84.9GW+8.4LMP$39.82CONG$18.7●RES17.4%●TX10●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ERCOTDEM58.9GWFCST66.1GW+7.2LMP$41.20CONG$9.8●RES7.6%●TX12●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026SPPDEM31.7GWFCST36.2GW+4.5LMP$33.15CONG$6.4●RES21.6%●TX5●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026CAISODEM27.2GWFCST33.5GW+6.3LMP$63.20CONG$13.9●RES11.4%●TX7●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026NYISODEM16.1GWFCST19.0GW+2.9LMP$68.40CONG$10.3●RES14.1%●TX4●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ISO-NEDEM12.8GWFCST15.4GW+2.6LMP$57.10CONG$7.9●RES17.2%●TX3●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026PJMDEM98.4GWFCST104.2GW+5.8LMP$49.36CONG$11.6●RES15.8%●TX8●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026MISODEM76.5GWFCST84.9GW+8.4LMP$39.82CONG$18.7●RES17.4%●TX10●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ERCOTDEM58.9GWFCST66.1GW+7.2LMP$41.20CONG$9.8●RES7.6%●TX12●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026SPPDEM31.7GWFCST36.2GW+4.5LMP$33.15CONG$6.4●RES21.6%●TX5●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026CAISODEM27.2GWFCST33.5GW+6.3LMP$63.20CONG$13.9●RES11.4%●TX7●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026NYISODEM16.1GWFCST19.0GW+2.9LMP$68.40CONG$10.3●RES14.1%●TX4●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ISO-NEDEM12.8GWFCST15.4GW+2.6LMP$57.10CONG$7.9●RES17.2%●TX3●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026
SMStock & Milster
Intelligence Index/Transmission Projects

MISO long-range plan tranche upgrades enter engineering across the Missouri–Illinois seam

Oct 7·MISO·Missouri·HIGH

01 · Executive Summary

Seam upgrades relieve a persistent binding constraint. Sites east of the seam gain deliverability that was previously unavailable at reasonable upgrade cost.

Assessed infrastructure impact72/100

02 · Key Intelligence

What the record shows

  • Ameren Missouri is the operative counterparty; MISO governs the deliverability question.
  • Signal class: Transmission Projects. Severity assessed HIGH on the internal impact scale.
  • Geography: Missouri. Adjacent positions in the same corridor inherit the same constraint profile.
  • Source of record: MISO LRTP documentation · public.

03 · Strategic Implications

What it changes

  • Deliverability assumptions built before this development should be re-run; corridor economics move faster than published study timelines.
  • Cost exposure concentrates on positions that remain in the process — withdrawal and restudy activity reallocates rather than removes obligation.
  • Contract structure (term, minimum take, collateral) is now a larger determinant of total cost of power than the headline tariff rate.
  • Timing optionality has value: the interval between filing and order is where outcomes are actually influenced.

04 · Recommended Actions

What to do next

  • Re-baseline the affected site or portfolio against current upgrade scope and schedule, not the last study cycle.
  • Establish a monitoring position on the governing docket or queue cluster with explicit decision triggers.
  • Model total cost of power on the rider and escalation trajectory across the full contract term.
  • Confirm the injection point versus point of delivery before relying on any adjacency or matched-supply narrative.

05 · Supporting Data

Market
MISO
State / Region
Missouri
Counterparty
Ameren Missouri
Signal class
Transmission Projects
Assessed impact
72 / 100
Severity
HIGH
Record date
Oct 7
Source
MISO LRTP documentation · public

Verified public intelligence · impact and severity are Stock & Milster assessments, not market quotations

Request a confidential assessment on this market.

Engagement-grade analysis extends this briefing into site-specific deliverability, tariff exposure, and negotiation posture.