ISO / RTO · MODELED TAPE
PJMDEM98.4GWFCST104.2GW+5.8LMP$49.36CONG$11.6●RES15.8%●TX8●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026MISODEM76.5GWFCST84.9GW+8.4LMP$39.82CONG$18.7●RES17.4%●TX10●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ERCOTDEM58.9GWFCST66.1GW+7.2LMP$41.20CONG$9.8●RES7.6%●TX12●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026SPPDEM31.7GWFCST36.2GW+4.5LMP$33.15CONG$6.4●RES21.6%●TX5●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026CAISODEM27.2GWFCST33.5GW+6.3LMP$63.20CONG$13.9●RES11.4%●TX7●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026NYISODEM16.1GWFCST19.0GW+2.9LMP$68.40CONG$10.3●RES14.1%●TX4●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ISO-NEDEM12.8GWFCST15.4GW+2.6LMP$57.10CONG$7.9●RES17.2%●TX3●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026PJMDEM98.4GWFCST104.2GW+5.8LMP$49.36CONG$11.6●RES15.8%●TX8●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026MISODEM76.5GWFCST84.9GW+8.4LMP$39.82CONG$18.7●RES17.4%●TX10●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ERCOTDEM58.9GWFCST66.1GW+7.2LMP$41.20CONG$9.8●RES7.6%●TX12●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026SPPDEM31.7GWFCST36.2GW+4.5LMP$33.15CONG$6.4●RES21.6%●TX5●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026CAISODEM27.2GWFCST33.5GW+6.3LMP$63.20CONG$13.9●RES11.4%●TX7●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026NYISODEM16.1GWFCST19.0GW+2.9LMP$68.40CONG$10.3●RES14.1%●TX4●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026ISO-NEDEM12.8GWFCST15.4GW+2.6LMP$57.10CONG$7.9●RES17.2%●TX3●MIXSrc: · · Upd Oct 10, 2026
SMStock & Milster

IND/01 · HYPERSCALE & AI

Data Centers & AI Infrastructure

Power determines location.

We evaluate whether a site can actually energize the load its capital plan assumes — substation by substation, utility by utility, before the LOI.

GAS CC · 1.2 GWWIND · 640 MWNUCLEAR PPA500 kVSUB · 230/34.5CAMPUS · 6 × 75 MWPH 3–4 UNPOWEREDDARK FIBER · 2 ROUTESWATER · 1.8 MGD

Available capacity

180 MW

Forecast load

450 MW

Interconnection

Queue #214

Deliverability

Partial

Time-to-power

38 mo

Transmission

500 kV · 4.1 mi

Utility posture

Cautious

Water

1.8 MGD

Fiber

2 diverse

Land

312 ac

Modeled · illustrative composite · S&M synthesis of public ISO/RTO, EIA and utility filings · As of Oct 2026

02 · 03

Power constraint model

Generation → Transmission → Substation → Campus → Compute.

Every campus sits at the end of a chain. We locate the binding link.

01 · GENERATION

Firm 1.4 GW

02 · TRANSMISSION

N-1 limit 620 MW

03 · SUBSTATION

Headroom 180 MW

BINDING CONSTRAINT

04 · CAMPUS

Design 450 MW

05 · COMPUTE LOAD

Ramp to 410 MW

A 450 MW campus is only as deliverable as its weakest link. In this illustrative case the substation — not generation — sets the realistic first-phase load at ~180 MW until a 2029 upgrade.

Modeled · illustrative · not a live reading · As of Oct 2026

06

Geographic intelligence

Where AI load is — and is not — being absorbed.

Select a corridor for its modeled load, time-to-power, and utility posture.
Northern Virginia

Corridor dossier

Northern Virginia

TRACKED LOAD
11.2 GW
TIME-TO-POWER
48–72 mo

Dominion large-load queue saturated; 2029+ energization typical.

Modeled · illustrative · not a live reading · As of Oct 2026

04

Critical pressure vectors

Nine variables that decide a campus.

Site Readiness

82

Zoning, land control, water and fiber verified against energization timing.

Power Availability

91

Firm headroom versus queue position and behind-the-meter optionality.

Transmission Access

74

Constraint inventory and the upgrade calendar that governs it.

Utility Engagement

68

How the utility will actually respond to a large-load study request.

Interconnection Risk

88

Study cluster risk, network upgrade allocation, withdrawal cascades.

Load Growth

95

Corridor-level absorption of AI training and inference load.

Time-to-Power

86

Realistic months-to-energize, not the brochure figure.

Campus Expansion

61

Whether phases 3–6 have a credible power path.

Infrastructure Constraints

79

Binding constraints that cap phase-one load.

05

Interactive risk model

The intelligence graph behind a campus decision.

Stock & Milster Intelligence Graph

COMPANYFACILITYSITEUTILITYSUBSTATIONTRANSMISSIONISO/RTOPOWER PLANTPROJECTMARKETCAPITALLOADINFRASTRUCTURERISKOPPORTUNITY

07

Decision framework

Five gates before capital commits.

  1. G1

    Is firm capacity available at the substation inside the window?

    PASSProceed to utility engagement.

    FLAGModel on-site bridge power or re-site.

  2. G2

    Does the transmission path survive N-1 at full load?

    PASSPhase plan holds.

    FLAGCap phase-one load; map upgrade calendar.

  3. G3

    Will the utility sign large-load terms we can underwrite?

    PASSLock tariff assumptions.

    FLAGStress cost-of-power and minimum-take.

  4. G4

    Do water, fiber and land control align to energization?

    PASSSite is decision-ready.

    FLAGResolve sequencing before LOI.

  5. G5

    Does the corridor support expansion beyond phase two?

    PASSUnderwrite full campus.

    FLAGValue as a single-phase asset.

08

How Stock & Milster helps

Independent diligence for the capital behind compute.

Decision-grade deliverables

  • D01Pre-LOI infrastructure intelligence pack
  • D02Substation-level site readiness score
  • D03Utility posture and counterparty map
  • D04Energization timeline counterfactual
  • D05Corridor comparison matrix

Questions leadership brings to us

  • Is this substation realistically deliverable inside our window?
  • Where else in the corridor is firm capacity available?
  • What does the rate-case calendar do to cost-of-power?

Stock & Milster advises on the decision. We do not sell the project. Engagements are scoped to geography, facilities and depth of analysis.

10 · EXECUTIVE ACCESS

Before the LOI, know whether the site can carry the load.